Infergo – Go programs that learn

infergo is a probabilistic programming facility for the Go language. infergo allows to write probabilistic models in almost unrestricted Go and relies on automatic differentiation for optimization and inference. Works anywhere where Go does. Hosted on Bitbucket. Licensed under the MIT license.

Example

more examples

Learning parameters of the Normal distribution from observations:

Model

type Model struct {
    Data []float64
}

// x[0] is the mean, x[1] is the log stddev of the distribution
func (m *Model) Observe(x []float64) float64 {
    // Our prior is a unit normal ...
    ll := Normal.Logps(0, 1, x...)
    // ... but the posterior is based on data observations.
	ll += Normal.Logps(x[0], math.Exp(x[1]), m.Data...)
    return ll
}

Inference

// Data
m := &Model{[]float64{
	-0.854, 1.067, -1.220, 0.818, -0.749,
	0.805, 1.443, 1.069, 1.426, 0.308}}

// Parameters
mean, logs := 0, 0
x := []float64{mean, logs}
	
// Optimization
opt := &infer.Momentum{
    Rate:  0.01,
    Decay: 0.998,
}
for iter := 0; iter != 1000; iter++ {
    opt.Step(m, x)
}
mean, logs = x[0], x[1]

// Posterior
hmc := &infer.HMC{
	Eps: 0.1,
}
samples := make(chan []float64)
hmc.Sample(m, x, samples)
for i := 0; i != 1000; i++ {
	x = <-samples
}
hmc.Stop()

Acknowledgements

I owe a debt of gratitude to Frank Wood who introduced me to probabilistic programming and inspired me to pursue probabilistic programming paradigms and applications. I also want to thank Jan-Willem van de Meent, with whom I had fruitful discussions of motives, ideas, and implementation choices behind infergo, and whose thoughts and recommendations significantly influenced infergo design. Finally, I want to thank PUB+, the company I worked for during early stages of development of Infergo, for supporting me in development of Infergo and letting me experiment with applying probabilistic programming to critical decision-making in production environment.

Why infergo

I share here my experiences from integrating probabilistic programming into a server-side software system and implementing a probabilistic programming facility for Go, a modern programming language of choice for server-side software development. Server-side application of probabilistic programming poses challenges for a probabilistic programming system. I discuss the challenges and my experience in overcoming them, and suggest guidelines that can help in a wider adoption of probabilistic programming in server-side software systems.